Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.055661 0.063280 0.071172 0.079927 0.089337 0.099120 0.110029
2025-03-30 0.044160 0.055460 0.067865 0.082350 0.098662 0.116332 0.136793
2025-04-06 0.037305 0.050981 0.066729 0.085865 0.108167 0.133042 0.162594
2025-04-13 0.030500 0.045293 0.063122 0.085586 0.112566 0.143411 0.180833
2025-04-20 0.028004 0.044352 0.064742 0.091118 0.123470 0.161085 0.207367
2025-04-27 0.022958 0.039413 0.060817 0.089371 0.125249 0.167755 0.220866
2025-05-04 0.020615 0.037760 0.060807 0.092281 0.132532 0.180869 0.241927
2025-05-11 0.017402 0.034447 0.058256 0.091637 0.135167 0.188209 0.255994
2025-05-18 0.015681 0.033099 0.058194 0.094108 0.141643 0.200204 0.275686
2025-05-25 0.013996 0.031578 0.057721 0.095899 0.147163 0.210981 0.293907
2025-06-01 0.011434 0.028279 0.054402 0.093565 0.147116 0.214654 0.303293
2025-06-08 0.009204 0.025183 0.051096 0.091001 0.146564 0.217539 0.311592
2025-06-15 0.008416 0.024691 0.051889 0.094509 0.154540 0.231837 0.334883
2025-06-22 0.007409 0.023652 0.051775 0.096730 0.160876 0.244208 0.356034
2025-06-29 0.006798 0.023305 0.052724 0.100506 0.169383 0.259480 0.380999
2025-07-06 0.005579 0.021436 0.050997 0.100171 0.172127 0.267202 0.396380
2025-07-13 0.005483 0.022056 0.053496 0.106271 0.183930 0.286924 0.427239
2025-07-20 0.004281 0.019813 0.050854 0.104343 0.184318 0.291499 0.438625
2025-07-27 0.003881 0.019469 0.051529 0.107551 0.192018 0.305836 0.462679
2025-08-03 0.003095 0.017880 0.049791 0.106841 0.194021 0.312511 0.476799
2025-08-10 0.002756 0.017470 0.050210 0.109565 0.201003 0.325923 0.499755
2025-08-17 0.002388 0.016862 0.050188 0.111537 0.206878 0.337850 0.520811
2025-08-24 0.001726 0.014994 0.047501 0.108967 0.205936 0.340401 0.529475